← Betway Premiership 2026-27

Prediction Arena

Pick any two sides, set the scene with the storyline sliders, and see how the model reads the match. Then go beat it.

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First side plays at home — home advantage is built into the league model.

Model verdict

Mamelodi Sundowns 27%Draw 28%Orlando Pirates 45%
Mamelodi Sundowns rating
1708
Orlando Pirates rating
1653
Mamelodi Sundowns expected goals
0.98
Orlando Pirates expected goals
1.34

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–113%
  • 1–113%
  • 0–010%
  • 1–010%
  • 0–29%

Beat the model

Call it before you see the model lean.

Live Form Model

Members

This season's form read against each club's established level — it updates after every final whistle and is honest about when this season disagrees with that baseline.

Checking your membership…

How the model works

Online Elo with an estimated home-advantage term plus a recency-weighted Poisson goal model, updated after every final whistle.

Matches this season
56
Home-field bump
42 Elo
Goals per side
1.21
Live formTuned to this season's form — 56 matches in.

Proven on this season's results: about 12% sharper than a coin-flip on log loss. Predictions are guidance, not betting advice.

Power ranking

Strongest sides by the model's learned rating.

  1. 1Mamelodi Sundowns1708
  2. 2Orlando Pirates1653
  3. 3Stellenbosch FC1534
  4. 4Sekhukhune United1523
  5. 5AmaZulu FC1516
  6. 6Kaizer Chiefs1516
  7. 7TS Galaxy1499
  8. 8Golden Arrows1482
  9. 9Polokwane City1464
  10. 10Milford FC1458