← Super League Greece 2026-27

Prediction Arena

Pick any two sides, set the scene with the storyline sliders, and see how the model reads the match. Then go beat it.

v

First side plays at home — home advantage is built into the league model.

Model verdict

Panathinaikos 44%Draw 30%Olympiacos 26%
Panathinaikos rating
1644
Olympiacos rating
1640
Panathinaikos expected goals
1.17
Olympiacos expected goals
0.81

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–016%
  • 0–014%
  • 1–113%
  • 0–111%
  • 2–09%

Beat the model

Call it before you see the model lean.

Derived markets

Members

Derived straight from the model's scoreline grid — they move with the storyline sliders, exactly like the verdict above. A statistical estimate for entertainment, not betting advice.

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Live Form Model

Members

This season's form read against each club's past-seasons level — it updates after every final whistle and is honest about when this season disagrees with the past.

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How the model works

Online Elo with an estimated home-advantage term plus a recency-weighted Poisson goal model, updated after every final whistle.

Matches this season
30
Home-field bump
38 Elo
Goals per side
1.31
Live formTuned to this season's form — 30 matches in.

Proven on this season's results: about 14% sharper than a coin-flip on log loss. Predictions are guidance, not betting advice.

Power ranking

Strongest sides by the model's learned rating.

  1. 1Panathinaikos1644
  2. 2Olympiacos1640
  3. 3AEK Athens1632
  4. 4PAOK1614
  5. 5OFI Crete1527
  6. 6Aris1513
  7. 7Panetolikos1503
  8. 8Atromitos1464
  9. 9Asteras Tripoli1448
  10. 10Iraklis1444