Storylines
The narratives the data is telling: who the model rates highest across Europe on one cross-league scale, and how honest that edge really is. Everything here is computed — no hot takes.
Anchored on 1,259 real UEFA matches (2015-16–2024-25).
Power ranking
Strongest sides by the model's learned rating.
- 1Paris Saint-Germain1886
- 2Arsenal1861
- 3Galatasaray1848
- 4Liverpool1846
- 5Bayern Munich1844
- 6Barcelona1835
- 7Real Madrid1825
- 8Internazionale1813
- 9PSV Eindhoven1786
- 10Fenerbahce1773
How to read this
One global cross-league Elo pool with a recency-weighted Poisson goal model, anchored on real UEFA matches so clubs from different domestic leagues sit on a single comparable scale; ratings decay toward the pool mean between seasons.
History-basedAnchored on 1,259 real UEFA matches (2015-16–2024-25).
Honest edge: across 1,259 past continental games the global pool is about 11% sharper than a coin-flip on log loss (0.983 vs 1.099) — a small but real cross-league signal. It graduates to live form as this season's results land.