Goals per game
2.73
110423 goals across 40465 matches in the dataset.
Storylines
The narratives the data is telling: who the model fancies, the toughest group, a dark horse, and which sides carry the most pedigree. Everything here is computed — no hot takes.
The model's favourites
Current field ranked by the model's learned rating.
- 1ArgentinaElite contender2006
- 2BrazilElite contender1988
- 3ColombiaElite contender1931
- 4FranceElite contender1922
- 5BelgiumElite contender1918
- 6SpainElite contender1903
Group of death
Group J — toughest on paper (avg rating 1793).
- Argentina2006
- Algeria1855
- Austria1806
- Jordan1504
Dark horse
Best recent form outside the top tier.
Germany
Rating 1835 · 15 form pts
Tournament pedigree
Final appearances on record among the current field.
- Germany6 finals
- Argentina5 finals
- Brazil4 finals
- France4 finals
- Netherlands3 finals
By the numbers
Wildest match on record
31–0
Australia vs American Samoa, FIFA World Cup qualification 2001 — 31 goals.
Serial finalist
Germany
Reached 6 finals in the dataset.
Knockout football is brutal
59%
23592 of 39974 knockout matches were level or decided by one goal.