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Storylines

The narratives the data is telling: who the model fancies, the toughest group, a dark horse, and which sides carry the most pedigree. Everything here is computed — no hot takes.

The model's favourites

Current field ranked by the model's learned rating.

  1. 1AlavésOutsider1500
  2. 2Athletic ClubOutsider1500
  3. 3Atlético MadridOutsider1500
  4. 4BarcelonaOutsider1500
  5. 5Celta VigoOutsider1500
  6. 6DeportivoOutsider1500

By the numbers

Goals per game
2.73

110423 goals across 40465 matches in the dataset.

Wildest match on record
31–0

Australia vs American Samoa, FIFA World Cup qualification 2001 — 31 goals.

Serial finalist
Germany

Reached 6 finals in the dataset.

Knockout football is brutal
59%

23592 of 39974 knockout matches were level or decided by one goal.